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Noise : a flaw in human judgment /

Discusses why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones by reducing the influence of "noise"--variables that can cause bias in decision making--and draws on examples in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, strategy, and personnel selecti...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kahneman, Daniel, 1934-
Group Author: Sibony, Olivier; Sunstein, Cass R.
Published: Little, Brown Spark,
Publisher Address: New York :
Publication Dates: 2021.
Literature type: Book
Language: English
Edition: First edition.
Subjects:
Decision making.
Reasoning (Psychology)
Judgment.
Cognitive styles.
Prise de décision.
Raisonnement (Psychologie)
Jugement.
Styles cognitifs.
PSYCHOLOGY / Applied Psychology.
PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology & Cognition.
PSYCHOLOGY / Social Psychology
Psychology.
Thought and thinking.
Problem solving.
Intellect.
Applied individual psychology
Cognitive psychology & cognition
Social psychology
Self-help publications.
Livres de croissance personnelle.
Summary: Discusses why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones by reducing the influence of "noise"--variables that can cause bias in decision making--and draws on examples in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, strategy, and personnel selection.
Carrier Form: ix, 454 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
Bibliography: Includes bibliographical references (pages 399-438) and index.
ISBN: 9780316266659
0316266655
Index Number: BF447
CLC: C934
Call Number: C934/K129-3
Contents: Introduction: Two kinds of error -- Part I. Finding noise: Crime and noisy punishment ; A noisy system ; Singular decisions -- Part II. Your mind is a measuring instrument: Matters of judgment ; Measuring error ; The analysis of noise ; Occasion noise ; How groups amplify noise -- Part III. Noise in predictive judgment: Judgments and models ; Noiseless rules ; Objective ignorance ; The valley of the normal -- Part IV. How noise happens: Heuristics, biases, and noise ; The matching operation ; Scale ; Patterns ; The sources of noise -- Part V. Improving judgments: Better judges for better judgments ; Debiasing and decision hygiene ; Sequencing information in forensic science ; Selection and aggregation in forecasting ; Guidelines in medicine ; Defining the scale in performance ratings ; Structure in hiring ; The mediating assessments protocol -- Part VI. Optimal noise: The costs of noise reduction ; Dignity ; Rules or standards? -- Review and conclusion: Taking noise seriously -- Epilogue: A less noisy world -- Appendix A: How to conduct a noise audit -- Appendix B: A checklist for a decision observer -- Appendix C: Correcting predictions.

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