Prediction:science, decision making, and the future of nature
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Group Author: | ; ; |
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Published: |
Island Press,
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Publisher Address: | Washington, D.C. |
Publication Dates: | c2000. |
Literature type: | Book |
Language: | English |
Subjects: | |
Carrier Form: | xv, 405 p.: ill. ; 24 cm. |
ISBN: |
1559637757 (acid-free paper) 1559637765 (pbk. : alk. paper) |
Index Number: | G303 |
CLC: |
G303 N1 |
Call Number: | G303/P923 |
Contents: |
Includes bibliographical references and index. Introduction : Death, taxes, and environmental policy / Daniel Sarewitz, Roger A. Pielke, Jr., and Radford Byerly, Jr. -- Prediction in science and policy / Daniel Sarewitz and Roger A. Pielke, Jr. -- Why predict? Historical perspectives on prediction in earth science / Naomi Oreskes -- Uncertainty, judgment, and error in prediction / Thomas R. Stewart -- Short-term weather prediction : an orchestra in need of a conductor / William H. Hooke and Roger Pielke, Jr. -- Flood prediction : immersed in the quagmire of national flood mitigation strategy / Stanley A. Changnon -- The asteroid/comet impact hazard : Homo sapiens as dinosaur? / Clark R. Chapman -- Predicting earthquakes : science, pseudoscience, and public policy paradox / Joanne M. Nigg -- What you know can hurt you : predicting the behavior of nourished beaches / Orrin H. Pilkey -- Is this number to your liking? Water quality predictions in mining impact studies / Robert E. Moran -- From tin roof to torn wet blanket : predicting and observing groundwater movement at a proposed nuclear waste site / Daniel Metlay -- Oil and gas resource appraisal : diminishing reserves, increasing supplies / Donald L. Gautier -- Predictive modeling of acid rain : obstacles to generating useful information / Charles Herrick -- Prediction and other approaches to climate change policy / Steve Rayner -- Alternatives to prediction / Ronald D. Brunner -- Prediction in society / Dale Jamieson -- Prediction and characteristic times / Radford Byerly, Jr. -- A decision framework for prediction in environmental policy / Charles Herrick and J. Michael Pendleton -- Decision making and the future of nature : understanding and using predictions / Roger A. Pielke, Jr., Daniel Sarewitz, and Radford Byerly, Jr. |