Screen LibraryMinding the weather : how expert forecasters think /
"This book presents an integration of recent research that reveals the knowledge and reasoning of expert weather forecasters, explaining how they understand and predict the weather. The book also discusses different styles and approaches to forecasting. It summarizes what weather forecasters th...
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| Main Authors: | |
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| Group Author: | ; ; ; |
| Published: |
The MIT Press,
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| Publisher Address: | Cambridge, Massachusetts : |
| Publication Dates: | [2017] |
| Literature type: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Subjects: | |
| Summary: |
"This book presents an integration of recent research that reveals the knowledge and reasoning of expert weather forecasters, explaining how they understand and predict the weather. The book also discusses different styles and approaches to forecasting. It summarizes what weather forecasters themselves have said about their reasoning, the literature of what makes for sound training of forecasters, studies of forecast accuracy, attempts to generate computer systems to forecast weather, and the technologies used in forecasting (including displays and visualizations) in such systems as radar and satellite. It presents a case study in which forecasters at a facility were probed for their reasoning and a proficiency scale was developed. In addition, the book summarizes and integrates the newest cutting-edge research in applied cognitive science, human factors engineering, cognitive systems engineering, and human-computer interaction that has investigated aspects of the psychology of weather forecasting, including knowledge and mental models, perceptual and display interpretation skills, and reasoning heuristics and strategies"--Provided by publisher. |
| Carrier Form: | xiv, 470 p ages, 16 unnumbered pages of plates : illustrations (some color) ; 24 cm |
| Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 401-462) and index. |
| ISBN: |
9780262036061 0262036061 |
| Index Number: | QC995 |
| CLC: | P45 |
| Call Number: | P45/H711 |
| Contents: | Introduction -- What is the forecasting workspace like? -- How do people come to be forecasters? -- How do forecasters describe how they reason? -- How well do forecasters (and forecasts) perform? -- What characterizes expertise? -- How do forecasters get to be expert forecasters? -- What does research on forecaster knowledge tell us? -- What does research on forecaster perception tell us? -- What does research on forecaster reasoning tell us? -- Can a machine imitate the human? -- Can a machine replace the human? -- Forecaster-computer interdependence -- Conclusions and prospects. |